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1 June 2010
Africa - the continent that keeps failing?
"Aid to Africa"
By: Nicholas Newman
Almost every day we hear that the West is to blame for Africa’s
problems. However, every day we hear the only solution is more
European Union (EU) aid is needed for sub-Saharan Africa,
despite the EU spending some € 13.5 billion over the last five
years in development aid.
There are many theories as to why foreign aid policy has failed
in Africa. It certainly worked in South-East Asia which has
transformed these economies into economic tigers. Such theories
that try to explain why sub-Saharan Africa remains stubbornly
poor could fill many shelves in a library. Such theories as to
why Africa has failed range from poor leadership to the terms
of trade being unfair to developing countries.
The blame of the continent’s woes has often been blamed on
predatory and corrupt leadership. Certainly, Mugabe and Mobutu
have been accused of amassing massive fortunes while
bankrupting their countries. However, it’s difficult to simply
put it down to just corrupt leadership. Indonesia’s Suharto;
despite amassing a similar-sized fortune, still managed to
achieve records in economic growth and poverty reduction.
Then there is the snag, about the gullibility of much of the
development community to the latest propounded policy
initiative. They are always on the lookout for the next policy
elixir on which to place there over optimistic hopes. Seeming
to forget the realities of life in Africa (yes even cynical
journalists get caught up in the spin of simplistic
hypotheses). It is not surprising that when reality finally
strikes home, we hear pronouncements that the EU has betrayed
Africa, again.
It is often said that opening up a poor country to world trade
benefits its people. A good example of this is China. The
trouble is the lowering of trade barriers can have its benefits
and disbenefits. One idea propounded is the removal of import
tariffs on goods produced in poor countries. The danger is such
a policy ignores many of the political and economic
implications that would arise. If India implemented such a
policy and opened up its rice markets to poorer Vietnam, the
world’s second biggest rice exporter, India's rice prices would
fall, causing many an Indian farmers into bankruptcy and the
Indian government in deep political difficulties.
Yet, even where tariffs are used to promote domestic
production, known as import substitution, the disbenefits can
be high as Malaysia found to its cost. In 1985, Malaysia
decided to establish a domestic car industry, and this
political project gained much political kudos for PM Mahathir.
For Malaysia, the disbenefits have been significant. High
import tariffs on foreign-made cars have sparked a major car
smuggling industry, increased the cost of motoring and cost the
Malaysian taxpayer billions.
To make things worse exports of the Proton to Europe have had
to be heavily subsidized to keep prices competitive. Many car
industry experts see little prospect of the Malaysian car
industry ever truly being competitive in the world markets. In
Africa, import substation has been found to damage the economy,
discourage efficiency and does little for the poor. Instead, we
find the only ones who seem to benefit are the ruling political
elites as they profit from the bribes local business have to
make to import avoiding import tariffs.
The dilemma is, more often or not, going on past experience,
when an African country is given some slack, it will use it to
hang itself, just like oil rich Nigeria has done many a
time.
So if trade policy, is unlikely to work in solving Africa’s
problems. What will? Well, two fashionable solutions are to
continue to give aid, but in a different manner, and the second
is to end foreign aid all together, and leave African’s to sort
it out.
The list of approaches to resolving Africa’s problems include,
cutting back aid by half, or requiring African ministers to
make public their banking details. The difficulty with
requiring ministers to publish their bank details ignores the
fact that it is very easy to hide stolen money, as a recent
investigation into the corruption in the Kenyan government, by
Transparency International, discovered to its amazement.
Another idea popular amongst aid givers, is the system of
budgetary support, a system where aid givers, simply deposit
money into countries treasuries and governments, are given the
freedom, to decide, how best to spend the money. Kenya and
Uganda were amongst the first to try out this scheme, but the
results were what old Africa hands had expected. Much of the
money disappeared, or went on arms spending rather than the
intended aim of poverty reduction.
Perhaps one of the most interesting solutions suggested is to
end the Gosplan style (top down central Soviet inspired
planning approach) so prevalent in the development of Africa
today. This has resulted in the continent being littered with
over-ambitious schemes of white elephant dams, palaces and
stadiums. Such planning did not work well in its homeland of
Eastern Europe, and seems to be equally ineffective.
Another approach involves where development policy mimics the
free market. Here, at the rural level villages or families are
given vouchers to purchase aid and development programmes.
Governments would be bypassed, and aid providers would have to
compete with each other in their attempts to aid their
customers.
At least, this is a novel approach, but it does have its
problems. The operators of such a market would have to have
some system to overcome the demands of local corrupt intent on
making money out of the scheme for their benefit, to the issues
of how to maintain resources for unpopular but highly necessary
services.
Finally, an approach gaining much popularity amongst donor
countries is targeted project based aid; where there is a
specific goal is expected to be achieved. Here aid providers
have total control through all the phases of the project,
having direct contact with locals and avoiding contact with a
state's government.
China’s growing influence in Africa is seen by many corrupt
leaders as a fresh source to enrich themselves, but already
they are in for a disappointment. The Chinese in Africa seemed
to be more hard headed than the West has ever been when it
comes to development aid.
It is clear, that there are as many theories as to why Africa
has failed, as there are solutions. It looks like no one has
got it right, not even the experts, rock stars and press
commentators. So when asked, what is the solution? I answer,
who knows?
by Nicholas Newman - 1 June 2010
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